Loan Pricing & Structuring Masterclass (Modular Course)
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Module 1: Loan Pricing and Structuring Day 1 Introduction Refresher on the business of banking Net interest income Asset and liability management (ALM) The fundamental role of funds transfer pricing Understanding interest rate markets Inter-bank rates, e.g. KLIBOR Government benchmark bond yields, e.g. the IGB curve Corporate treasury management primer The key issues and risks faced by corporates in 2013 Risk management Regulatory and accounting requirements Security of financing Understanding financing from a corporate perspective Inventory financing Trade financing Project financing Key elements of loans Fundamental loan types Bullet Amortising Credit risk pricing inputs Internal credit data External credit rating of borrower Market credit spreads Credit default swap data Tenor Terms Collateral type Covenants Use of funds Leverage ratios Interest payment schedule Options Prepayment Other types of options Caps, floors, collars Loans with embedded call options Forward start facility Benefit to client in reducing refinancing risk Interest rate risk to lending bank Introduction to interest rate derivatives Role of derivatives in client financial risk management Key derivative products Fixed for floating interest rate swaps Basis swaps Cross currency swaps Swaptions Discounting loan cash flows to fair value Loan cash flow structures Bullet Principal at maturity and periodic interest payments Amortising Calculation of present value Time value of money Discount factor Present value of loan cash flow Exercise: Valuing default risk free fixed rate loans – Bullet structure – Principal and maturity and periodic interest payments – Amortising loan structures Loan pricing and valuation input data Loan terms Collateral Sinking fund provisioning Covenants Credit quality Discount rates Deriving appropriate rates from the term structure of interest rates Zero coupon interest rates: Derivation and use Incorporating credit risk into pricing models Bank specific loan pricing factors Internal funding rate Cost of funds Credit risk Cost of capital Operating costs Residual interest rate risk from the interest rate gap Floating rate loans Key concepts Structure Reference rate, e.g. relevant inter-bank rate Loan pricing calculation Loan margin calculation Floating rate loan mechanics Reset dates Implication for interest rate risk Exercise: Minimum loan pricing calculation incorporating required return on bank’s equity capital Day 2 Cash flow estimation Forward interest rates as best estimate of prevailing rates in the future Deriving forward rates from the term structure of interest rates Non-par floating rate loans Valuation Modelling expected floating rate loan cash flows Discounting floating rate loan cash flows to fair value Incorporating credit risk into loan valuation models Exercise: Floating rate loan synthesis – Loan pricing calculation, incorporating default risk – Loan margin calculation – Estimating floating rate loan cash flows from the forward curve – Calculating current fair market value by discounting using the zero curve Case study: The development of Asian debt markets since the Asian Financial Crisis 1. Financial structure, development and economic growth 2. Asian debt markets pre-1997 3. Critical events in Asian debt markets 4. Debt market reform: Response of policymakers since 1997 5. Post-crisis development of Asian debt markets Fixed rate loan and bond analysis How interest rates relate to bond yields Fixed rate loans as bond equivalents Characteristics of bonds Floating rate loan vs. Bond pricing methods Bond price vs. Yield Calculating a bond's price given a known Government benchmark yield and credit spread Calculating a bond's yield from a known price Exercise: Calculation of a bond’s price from the Government equivalent yield plus credit spread and comparing it to the pricing of a loan with the same maturity Fixed rate loan pricing from FTP internal funding rate Revaluation of fixed rate loans due to change in internal funding rate input parameters Day 3 Bond risk metrics and their application to fixed rate loan analysis Duration Convexity Risk dynamics for different loan structures Floating rate Fixed rate Bullet Amortising Principal at maturity and periodic interest payments Exercise: Calculation of fixed loan risk metrics for different loan structures Interest rate swaps Introduction: Fixed for floating - "plain vanilla" - swaps Pricing model inputs The zero curve The forward curve Valuation Fixed leg Floating leg Net value Inception During life of swap when rates change Pricing during a swap’s life Exercise: Pricing an interest rate swap during its life given different interest rate scenarios Asset and commodity-based lending structures Rationale Key types Corporate assets Non-current assets Property Plant Current assets Receivables Inventory Commodity Benefit to borrowers Key types Role in Shari’a-compliant lending Commodity based returns Principal protection Managing commodity risk Equity Key types Convertible Exchangeable Total return swap based on index Equity linked notes Structuring equity linked notes Zero coupon bond plus option Asset based loan pricing models Forward start loan products Pricing intrinsic value of forward start loan from the forward curve Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs) FRA pricing calculation Exercise: Pricing forward rate agreements Module 2: Advanced Loan Pricing and Structured Debt Products Day 1 Interest rate derivatives: Purpose, pricing and valuation Risk management Lender perspective Prepayment risk factors Interest rate Borrower credit rating improvement (credit migration) Availability of equity refinancing Credit risk Fixed rate loan duration risk Floating rate loan basis risk Borrower perspective Floating rate borrowers: Risk of rising rates Fixed rate borrowers: Opportunity cost of falling interest rates Foreign currency borrowers Accessing international capital markets FX rate risk Foreign currency interest rate risk Principal derivative types Interest rate swaps Fixed for floating Basis swaps, e.g. deposit rate basis into 3 month JIBOR Forward start swaps Cross Currency Swaps (CCS) Purpose Hedging Enabling clients to access cheaper borrowing Comparative borrowing advantage Types Fixed for fixed CCS Fixed for floating CCS Pricing Pricing at inception Valuation during a CCS's life Analysis of clients' financing and currency risk management requirements Asset cash flows, e.g. income from commodity assets in US$ Liability cash flows, e.g. interest payments in local currencies Exercises: Structuring cross currency swaps – Hedging – Enabling clients to access cheaper borrowing – Comparative borrowing advantage Optionality in loan structures Fundamental concepts Payoff profiles Prepayment clauses American-style European-style Default as an option Probability analysis of uncertain outcomes Central role of volatility Other key factors including Time to exercise date Strike rate Current rate Loans with embedded options Structure, e.g. Bermudan Borrower call option, e.g. full or part prepayment option Yield analysis Yield to call Yield to worst Exercise: Calculating yield to worst Valuation Value of non-callable loan less value of option Interest rate lattices Binomial trees Forward rates Interest rate volatility Risk analysis Impact of optionality Effective duration Lender put option (right to enforce early redemption of loan) Pricing optionality Key concepts Volatility Boundary conditions Time to exercise date Strike rate Current rate Pricing models for interest rate related options Forward rates Assumed probability distribution Summary: How enhanced loan features meet clients' needs Fulfilling financing requirements Minimising overall cost of financing Exercise: Pricing a fixed loan with a call option using a three period binomial option pricing model: – Non-callable loan – Call option – Callable loan Day 2 Swaptions Swaptions as an option to exercise swap agreement at a given point in the future Estimated cash flow profile Pricing: The Black (1976) model Exercise: Valuation of a swaption Caps, floors and collars Understanding the purpose of interest rate caps, floors and collars Benefit to client of interest rate caps Benefit to bank of interest rate floors Financing cost reduction effect for client of Collar vs. Cap Interest rate caps as a series of caplets Pricing caps, floors and collars Exercise: Valuation of an interest rate caplet Counterparty risk in derivative transactions: Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) Pricing data sourcing and derivation Deriving pricing factors from internal and external sources Bootstrapping: Deriving discount rates for loan pricing from market data Interpolation: Derivation of, e.g. 3 and 6 month rates from longer term rates Projection: Derivation of 18 month rates from annual rates Internal ratings approach Bond market yields and credit spreads Credit Default Swap (CDS) markets CDS premia interpretation Translating CDS premia into discount factors to price loans Deriving minimum loan pricing levels: Opportunity cost analysis Bond market yield curves CDS markets Exercise: Deriving discount rates from debt markets and using them to price a loan Loan portfolio analysis and management Understanding and managing loan portfolio risk Correlation risk Borrowers Collateral Effective diversification Residual risk factors Interest rate Collateral values, e.g. property Equity markets Commodity markets Exercise: Hedging loan portfolio duration risk using interest rate derivatives Structuring, pricing and risk management of Shari’a compliant loan products Review of Islamic banking principles and structures Overview of key Shari'a financial principles Usury: Riba Uncertainty of outcome: Gharar and Maysir Shared risk-taking: Mukhatarah Forbidden activities: Haraam Fundamental concepts in contemporary Islamic finance Sharing of risk between contracting parties Cost plus mark-up (Murabahah) Profit sharing (Mudharabah) Joint venture (Musharakah) Payment of religious tax (Zakat) Case studies: Translating Shari'a guidelines into loan products Deferred payment structures, e.g. Bai’ Bithaman Ajil (BBA), Bai’ al’ inah Collateral-based lending, e.g. Murabahah Leasing plus sale structure, e.g. Ijara wa Iqtina Trade financing, e.g. Istisna, Bai’ Salam Floating rate and repayment instalment structures, e.g. Musharakah Mutanaqisah (MMQ) Joint venture (risk sharing) structures, e.g. Musharakah Project financing Introduction Due diligence: Assessing the risk of projects Understanding the roles of the participants and identifying opportunities Financing and risk management Project financing pre-contract requirements and hedging Structured financing during project SPV lending structures Using tailored swaps to structure project financing lending transactions Swaptions Forward start swaps Amortising swaps Accreting swaps Risk management Documentation Collateral and security Project financing-based Islamic bond structures Sukuk investment into the assets of the project Meets with the requirements for risk-sharing and asset ownership rather than debt
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