Active Portfolio Management & Asset Allocation
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Day 1 We begin the course with an introduction to the fundamentals of portfolio management which will cover the portfolio management process in its entireity. We will explore concepts such as indifference curves, efficient frontier, calculation of risk and return, risk/return tradeoffs, diversifying risk and the asset allocation process. Principles of portfolio management Introduction and objectives Introduction to portfolio management The fund management process The client The portfolio manager’s role Portfolio analysis The decision making process – strategic and tactical asset allocation Active vs passive fund management Asset allocation vs stock selection Case study: Asset allocation. Portfolio analysis – returns and risk The client – the risk/return trade off Fundamentals of calculating returns Money weighted returns Time weighted returns Unit pricing Dealing with currencies and fees Case study: Calculating expected returns Measuring risk Standard deviation and variance as risk measures Normal distribution – beware the black swan Risk vs. return tradeoff Case study: Risk return tradeoff Managing risk in a portfolio Diversification in a portfolio – covariance and correlation Reducing risk in a portfolio Case study: Optimising a portfolio via diversification Day 2 Case study: Portfolio management decisions Participants will be given a historical portfolio of common stock, debt securities and other assets and will be asked to calculate related portfolio statistics: expected returns, standard deviation of returns, covariance, correlation coefficients and beta of the assets. Participants will then use this information to construct an efficient portfolio. Equity portfolio management is often a critical component of overall investment success since equity securities often represent the largest portion of many investment portfolios. After a review of equity valuation techniques, we will discuss the role of equities in an investment portfolio, the major approaches employed to manage equities and conclude with a look at strategies used to manage international and emerging market equity portfolios. Equity portfolio management The principles of equity investment Valuing equity securities The two key approaches to equity valuation, absolute and relative valuation techniques Fundamental equity valuation – Discounted cash Flow (“DCF”) Valuation What discount rate? Weighted Average Cost of Capital (“WACC”) Using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (“CAPM”) Current issues in valuation – the risk free rate and beta Relative valuation techniques – Multiple Based Valuation Case study: Applying fundamental and multiple based valuation to a case company Equity portfolio management Equity investment, return and risk profile of equity investments Equity style management Security selection approaches: topdown or bottom up Establishing relevant benchmarks Long-short vs. long-only strategies Alpha / Beta separation Applications of portable alpha Case study: Evaluating equity funds Participants review several equity portfolios, discussing relative weightings, sector allocation and other important attributes affecting performance. Equity indexing Weighting schemes of major indices Equity index futures and their role Index mutual funds Exchangetraded funds Strategies and benchmarking approaches International equity portfolio management Constructing international equity benchmarks Major emerging market classifications Adjusting the cost of capital in emerging markets To hedge or not to hedge FX risk Day 3 Case study: Equity portfolio construction Participants will first examine some of the major issues confronting equity portfolio construction, including high correlations during crisis, cost of capital computation difficulties, and non-normal return distributions. The fixed income market is one of the largest and fastest growing areas in the global financial marketplace, as government and private debt constitute nearly half of the wealth in international financial markets. Day 3 explores the fundamentals of fixed income investments, sensitivity measures to evaluate bond performance, and several commonly employed strategies used by fixed income portfolio managers. Managing fixed income portfolios Fundamentals of fixed income The key attributes of fixed income securities - Sovereign debt - Corporate debt - Asset backed securities - Commercial paper - Collateralised debt obligations The key risks in investing in bonds - Market value risk - Interest rate risk - Income risk - Credit risk - Liability risk - Call and prepayment risk Exercise: Calculating bond sensitivity to risk Understanding yield spreads Yield curve shapes Term structures of interest rates LIBOR (and its successor?) Valuing fixed income instruments: duration and convexity Valuation under conditions of certainty Bond values and interest rates Macaulay and modified duration measures Calculating effective convexity Convertibles – hybrid instruments and their valuation Exercise: Calculating the price of a bond Participants will be given a various bonds and convertible instruments to value Fixed income portfolio management Objectives and constraints Active vs. Passive strategies Using diversification to minimize risk Immunisation strategies Case study: Portfolio pricing Participants are given a group of bonds from a portfolio of a fixed income manager and must forecast their price changes as interest rates fluctuate. Participants will also determine the appropriate amount of hedging bond needed to immunise the portfolio. Day 4 Alternative Investments The different alternative asset classes and their return and risk profiles Hedge funds – investment styles, risk profiles, examples of hedge funds success and failure Private equity – capturing the liquidity premium Commodities – mind the yield gap Real estate – an investment you can improve Alternative investment management & strategies Exercise: Alternative investment analysis Participants will evaluate different alternative investments and select suitable investors to match various portfolios. Portfolio analysis Performance measurement, risk and attribution Calculating risk – analyzing portfolios for different types of risk Defining risk The various risk measures Absolute risk measures Relative risk measures Downside risk measures Using benchmarks – relative and absolute benchmarks Indices and composite indices Portfolio attribution Fama decomposition Portfolio attribution – sector/stock level analysis Presenting performance – Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPs) Case study: Putting it all together Participants will use all topics covered to evaluate a group of investment portfolios, determining the strengths and weaknesses, etc. Course summary and close
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